Catch protocol commits before the market does.

Quantmetric strips out documentation churn, dependency bumps, and release-prep theater. What's left is the consensus, networking, and execution code that actually moves price.

Commits Filtered (7d)
759
Raw commits crossing the 7-day window
Core Surges Detected (7d)
2
Signals whose type resolves to CAS
Avg 30d Alpha vs BTC (settled)
+19.9%
Average settled 30-day alpha versus BTC

SIGNAL PIPELINE ARCHITECTURE

The horizontal refinement path from noisy GitHub commit firehose to final trading alerts.

Raw

Raw Data

Live GitHub commit stream

Filter

Noise Filter

Strip docs, config churn, and tiny edits

Core

Core Extraction

Lock onto src/ and contract-critical logic

Core

Core Extraction

Lock onto src/ and contract-critical logic

Engine

Signal Engine

Generate alerts from 30D and 7D baselines

Project Watchlist

Click a project to sync code activity with social flow.

01
Solana
Active project@solana
14
Core / 24H
02
XRP
Active project@xrp
6
Core / 24H
03
Aptos
Active project@aptos
4
Core / 24H
04
Near Protocol
Active project@nearprotocol
4
Core / 24H
05
Sui
Active project@sui
4
Core / 24H
06
Avalanche
Active project@avalanche
1
Core / 24H
07
Cardano
Active project@cardano
1
Core / 24H
08
Cosmos
Active project@cosmos
1
Core / 24H
09
Algorand
Active project@algorand
-
Core / 24H
10
Bitcoin
Active project@bitcoin
-
Core / 24H
11
BNB Chain
Active project@bnbchain
-
Core / 24H
12
Dogecoin
Active project@dogecoin
-
Core / 24H
13
Ethereum (go-ethereum)
Active project@ethereumgoethereum
-
Core / 24H
14
Polkadot
Active project@polkadot
-
Core / 24H
15
TON
Active project@ton
-
Core / 24H
16
Tron
Active project@tron
-
Core / 24H
17
Worldcoin
Active project@worldcoin
-
Core / 24H

Recent Signals

Latest lifecycle-managed alerts with frozen T+0 prices and settlement state.

CAS
Core Activity Surge

Cosmos

Cosmos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 5.7143x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 4 commits; 30D mean: 0.7; z-score: 3.2836.

5.7143x
2026-06-08T20:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
1.80000000
Benchmark
63348.00000000
Status
monitoring
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Celestia (TIA)

Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 30x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0333; z-score: 5.3852.

30x
2026-06-08T16:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.32493100
Benchmark
63792.00000000
Status
monitoring
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

zkSync (ZK)

zkSync (ZK) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 6.6667x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 4 commits; 30D mean: 0.6; z-score: 3.1388.

6.6667x
2026-06-01T20:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.01430566
Benchmark
71462.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Solana

Solana Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.1441x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 24 commits; 30D mean: 7.6333; z-score: 3.1518.

3.1441x
2026-05-28T08:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
81.05000000
Benchmark
73308.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

zkSync (ZK)

zkSync (ZK) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 7.0588x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 4 commits; 30D mean: 0.5667; z-score: 3.1621.

7.0588x
2026-05-27T00:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.01469838
Benchmark
75852.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Sui

Sui Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.2787x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 20 commits; 30D mean: 6.1; z-score: 3.0608.

3.2787x
2026-05-22T04:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
1.11000000
Benchmark
77781.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Polygon (POL)

Polygon (POL) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 10x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 3 commits; 30D mean: 0.3; z-score: 3.457.

10x
2026-05-18T12:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.09034500
Benchmark
77403.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Aptos

Aptos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.7079x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 11 commits; 30D mean: 2.9667; z-score: 3.3651.

3.7079x
2026-05-15T16:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.98374600
Benchmark
79145.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

XRP

XRP Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.1176x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 7 commits; 30D mean: 1.7; z-score: 3.1249.

4.1176x
2026-05-13T20:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
1.42000000
Benchmark
79629.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Cosmos

Cosmos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 18x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 3 commits; 30D mean: 0.1667; z-score: 4.8671.

18x
2026-05-13T04:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
2.14000000
Benchmark
81183.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

zkSync (ZK)

zkSync (ZK) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 6x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 3 commits; 30D mean: 0.5; z-score: 3.2733.

6x
2026-05-12T20:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.01836485
Benchmark
80809.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Dogecoin

Dogecoin Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 20x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 2 commits; 30D mean: 0.1; z-score: 3.5282.

20x
2026-05-12T08:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.10967400
Benchmark
80849.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Tron

Tron Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 30x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0333; z-score: 5.3852.

30x
2026-05-08T16:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.34972400
Benchmark
79976.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Dogecoin

Dogecoin Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 3.7417.

15x
2026-05-08T00:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.10792800
Benchmark
80044.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Tron

Tron Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 30x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0333; z-score: 5.3852.

30x
2026-04-30T00:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.32326400
Benchmark
75784.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Near Protocol

Near Protocol Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.2857x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 12 commits; 30D mean: 2.8; z-score: 3.3026.

4.2857x
2026-04-29T04:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
1.37000000
Benchmark
76919.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Celestia (TIA)

Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 3.7417.

15x
2026-04-28T16:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.36859600
Benchmark
76013.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Aptos

Aptos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.6986x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 9 commits; 30D mean: 2.4333; z-score: 3.378.

3.6986x
2026-04-28T12:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.95944400
Benchmark
76216.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Polygon (POL)

Polygon (POL) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 18x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 6 commits; 30D mean: 0.33; z-score: 6.83.

18x
2026-04-24T12:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
Benchmark
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Pre-anchor era: T0 price was not captured at signal creation time. We do not retroactively backfill prices because that would introduce look-ahead bias into the alpha track record.

CAS
Core Activity Surge

Celestia (TIA)

Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.07; z-score: 3.74.

15x
2026-04-22T16:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
Benchmark
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Pre-anchor era: T0 price was not captured at signal creation time. We do not retroactively backfill prices because that would introduce look-ahead bias into the alpha track record.

Alpha Scorecard

Settled signals are shown here so operators can audit realized alpha against BTC.

zkSync (ZK)
core_activity_surge · 2026-06-01
6.6667x
T+0
0.01430566
T+7
0.01014995
T+30
Alpha
-16.5%
Solana
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-28
3.1441x
T+0
81.05000000
T+7
68.47
T+30
Alpha
-2.0%
zkSync (ZK)
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-27
7.0588x
T+0
0.01469838
T+7
0.01292416
T+30
Alpha
-0.3%
Sui
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-22
3.2787x
T+0
1.11000000
T+7
0.906903
T+30
Alpha
-12.7%
Polygon (POL)
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-18
10.0000x
T+0
0.09034500
T+7
0.091972
T+30
Alpha
+2.7%
Aptos
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-15
3.7079x
T+0
0.98374600
T+7
0.939417
T+30
Alpha
+0.3%
XRP
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-13
4.1176x
T+0
1.42000000
T+7
1.38
T+30
Alpha
-0.7%
Cosmos
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-13
18.0000x
T+0
2.14000000
T+7
2.01
T+30
Alpha
-2.0%
zkSync (ZK)
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-12
6.0000x
T+0
0.01836485
T+7
0.01473407
T+30
Alpha
-14.7%
Dogecoin
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-12
20.0000x
T+0
0.10967400
T+7
0.102656
T+30
Alpha
-1.3%
Tron
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-08
30.0000x
T+0
0.34972400
T+7
0.351863
T+30
0.326924
Alpha
+14.0%
Dogecoin
core_activity_surge · 2026-05-08
15.0000x
T+0
0.10792800
T+7
0.116688
T+30
0.081805
Alpha
-0.1%