Catch protocol commits before the market does.

Quantmetric strips out documentation churn, dependency bumps, and release-prep theater. What's left is the consensus, networking, and execution code that actually moves price.

Commits Filtered (7d)
660
Raw commits crossing the 7-day window
Core Surges Detected (7d)
1
Signals whose type resolves to CAS
Avg 30d Alpha vs BTC (settled)
+5.1%
Average settled 30-day alpha versus BTC

SIGNAL PIPELINE ARCHITECTURE

The horizontal refinement path from noisy GitHub commit firehose to final trading alerts.

Raw

Raw Data

Live GitHub commit stream

Filter

Noise Filter

Strip docs, config churn, and tiny edits

Core

Core Extraction

Lock onto src/ and contract-critical logic

Core

Core Extraction

Lock onto src/ and contract-critical logic

Engine

Signal Engine

Generate alerts from 30D and 7D baselines

Project Watchlist

Click a project to sync code activity with social flow.

01
Solana
Active project@solana
9
Core / 24H
02
Bitcoin
Active project@bitcoin
3
Core / 24H
03
Ethereum (go-ethereum)
Active project@ethereumgoethereum
2
Core / 24H
04
Polkadot
Active project@polkadot
2
Core / 24H
05
Avalanche
Active project@avalanche
1
Core / 24H
06
Algorand
Active project@algorand
-
Core / 24H
07
Aptos
Active project@aptos
-
Core / 24H
08
BNB Chain
Active project@bnbchain
-
Core / 24H
09
Cardano
Active project@cardano
-
Core / 24H
10
Cosmos
Active project@cosmos
-
Core / 24H
11
Dogecoin
Active project@dogecoin
-
Core / 24H
12
Near Protocol
Active project@nearprotocol
-
Core / 24H
13
Sui
Active project@sui
-
Core / 24H
14
TON
Active project@ton
-
Core / 24H
15
Tron
Active project@tron
-
Core / 24H
16
Worldcoin
Active project@worldcoin
-
Core / 24H
17
XRP
Active project@xrp
-
Core / 24H

Recent Signals

Latest lifecycle-managed alerts with frozen T+0 prices and settlement state.

CAS
Core Activity Surge

Cardano

Cardano Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 9x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 3 commits; 30D mean: 0.3333; z-score: 3.8139.

9x
2026-09-04T04:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.22320100
Benchmark
80865.00000000
Status
monitoring
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho (MORPHO) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 60x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 2 commits; 30D mean: 0.0333; z-score: 10.956.

60x
2026-09-01T12:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
2.56000000
Benchmark
78080.00000000
Status
monitoring
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Polkadot

Polkadot Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.0541x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 10 commits; 30D mean: 2.4667; z-score: 3.3527.

4.0541x
2026-08-26T20:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.84197400
Benchmark
78506.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Celestia (TIA)

Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 3.7417.

15x
2026-08-26T20:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.34691000
Benchmark
78506.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Cardano

Cardano Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 8.5714x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 2 commits; 30D mean: 0.2333; z-score: 3.5652.

8.5714x
2026-08-26T04:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.21100000
Benchmark
79054.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Aptos

Aptos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.5x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 6 commits; 30D mean: 1.3333; z-score: 3.7417.

4.5x
2026-08-20T08:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.55873500
Benchmark
70177.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Internet Computer (ICP)

Internet Computer (ICP) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.2432x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 20 commits; 30D mean: 6.1667; z-score: 3.1349.

3.2432x
2026-08-18T20:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
2.20000000
Benchmark
64583.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Dogecoin

Dogecoin Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 3.7417.

15x
2026-08-16T04:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.06979300
Benchmark
63076.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Polkadot

Polkadot Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.9344x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 8 commits; 30D mean: 2.0333; z-score: 3.2207.

3.9344x
2026-08-14T20:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.75870100
Benchmark
62933.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Helium (HNT)

Helium (HNT) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 6.4286x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 9 commits; 30D mean: 1.4; z-score: 3.3853.

6.4286x
2026-08-13T04:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
0.18067400
Benchmark
63583.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

BNB Chain

BNB Chain Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 30x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0333; z-score: 5.3852.

30x
2026-08-11T08:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
602.76000000
Benchmark
64025.00000000
Status
settled_7d
Replay
CDD
Core Development Deficit

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho (MORPHO) Core Development Deficit detected. Core commit activity remained at 0 over the last 14 days while non-core throughput materially exceeded its historical pace (27 non-core commits in 14 days versus a historical 14-day threshold of 22.12; daily non-core baseline: 0.316).

2026-08-06T04:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
1.91000000
Benchmark
64480.00000000
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Core Development Deficit invalidated: a new core commit landed at 2026-08-31 17:39 UTC. First commit message: chore: apply forge 1.8 formatting

CAS
Core Activity Surge

Celestia (TIA)

Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 3.7417.

15x
2026-08-05T16:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.33507000
Benchmark
64437.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CDD
Core Development Deficit

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho (MORPHO) Core Development Deficit detected. Core commit activity remained at 0 over the last 14 days while non-core throughput materially exceeded its historical pace (27 non-core commits in 14 days versus a historical 14-day threshold of 22.29; daily non-core baseline: 0.3185).

2026-08-05T04:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
1.86000000
Benchmark
64096.00000000
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Core Development Deficit invalidated: a new core commit landed at 2026-08-31 17:39 UTC. First commit message: chore: apply forge 1.8 formatting

CAS
Core Activity Surge

Helium (HNT)

Helium (HNT) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 7.5x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 3 commits; 30D mean: 0.4; z-score: 3.0929.

7.5x
2026-08-05T00:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
0.18153900
Benchmark
63995.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CAS
Core Activity Surge

Ethereum (go-ethereum)

Ethereum (go-ethereum) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 7.8261x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 6 commits; 30D mean: 0.7667; z-score: 5.9298.

7.8261x
2026-08-04T08:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
1862.45000000
Benchmark
63647.00000000
Status
settled_30d
Replay
CDD
Core Development Deficit

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho (MORPHO) Core Development Deficit detected. Core commit activity remained at 0 over the last 14 days while non-core throughput materially exceeded its historical pace (27 non-core commits in 14 days versus a historical 14-day threshold of 22.47; daily non-core baseline: 0.321).

2026-08-04T04:10:02Z
T+0 Locked
1.94000000
Benchmark
63709.00000000
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Core Development Deficit invalidated: a new core commit landed at 2026-08-31 17:39 UTC. First commit message: chore: apply forge 1.8 formatting

CDD
Core Development Deficit

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho (MORPHO) Core Development Deficit detected. Core commit activity remained at 0 over the last 14 days while non-core throughput materially exceeded its historical pace (27 non-core commits in 14 days versus a historical 14-day threshold of 22.65; daily non-core baseline: 0.3235).

2026-08-03T04:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
1.92000000
Benchmark
62843.00000000
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Core Development Deficit invalidated: a new core commit landed at 2026-08-31 17:39 UTC. First commit message: chore: apply forge 1.8 formatting

CDD
Core Development Deficit

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho (MORPHO) Core Development Deficit detected. Core commit activity remained at 0 over the last 14 days while non-core throughput materially exceeded its historical pace (27 non-core commits in 14 days versus a historical 14-day threshold of 22.86; daily non-core baseline: 0.3265).

2026-08-02T00:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
1.94000000
Benchmark
62849.00000000
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Core Development Deficit invalidated: a new core commit landed at 2026-08-31 17:39 UTC. First commit message: chore: apply forge 1.8 formatting

CDD
Core Development Deficit

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho (MORPHO) Core Development Deficit detected. Core commit activity remained at 0 over the last 14 days while non-core throughput materially exceeded its historical pace (27 non-core commits in 14 days versus a historical 14-day threshold of 23.07; daily non-core baseline: 0.3296).

2026-07-31T20:10:01Z
T+0 Locked
1.98000000
Benchmark
62901.00000000
Status
invalidated
Replay
SIGNAL INVALIDATED

Core Development Deficit invalidated: a new core commit landed at 2026-08-31 17:39 UTC. First commit message: chore: apply forge 1.8 formatting

Alpha Scorecard

Settled signals are shown here so operators can audit realized alpha against BTC.

Celestia (TIA)
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-26
15.0000x
T+0
0.34691000
T+7
0.352368
T+30
Alpha
+3.4%
Polkadot
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-26
4.0541x
T+0
0.84197400
T+7
0.85982
T+30
Alpha
+3.9%
Cardano
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-26
8.5714x
T+0
0.21100000
T+7
0.200845
T+30
Alpha
-2.3%
Aptos
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-20
4.5000x
T+0
0.55873500
T+7
0.540563
T+30
Alpha
-14.0%
Internet Computer (ICP)
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-18
3.2432x
T+0
2.20000000
T+7
2.4
T+30
Alpha
-12.7%
Dogecoin
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-16
15.0000x
T+0
0.06979300
T+7
0.092527
T+30
Alpha
+9.6%
Polkadot
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-14
3.9344x
T+0
0.75870100
T+7
0.961074
T+30
Alpha
+2.9%
Helium (HNT)
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-13
6.4286x
T+0
0.18067400
T+7
0.181294
T+30
Alpha
-15.5%
BNB Chain
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-11
30.0000x
T+0
602.76000000
T+7
603.57
T+30
Alpha
-0.6%
Celestia (TIA)
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-05
15.0000x
T+0
0.33507000
T+7
0.30628
T+30
0.355053
Alpha
-17.6%
Helium (HNT)
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-05
7.5000x
T+0
0.18153900
T+7
0.181905
T+30
0.661434
Alpha
+237.8%
Ethereum (go-ethereum)
core_activity_surge · 2026-08-04
7.8261x
T+0
1862.45000000
T+7
1880.33
T+30
2502.66
Alpha
+7.1%