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Signal #107
● SETTLED (30d)

Signal #107Sui Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Sui has a complete 30-day replay on record.

Sui Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.2787x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 20 commits; 30D mean: 6.1; z-score: 3.0608.

Current CAS Score
0.6×
0.6× vs 30d baseline
−38.48% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$1.11
BTC$77,781.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.91
BTC$77,781.00
PRICE T+30
Project$0.70
BTC$77,781.00
7-DAY
−18.30% absolute return
−12.71% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−36.59% absolute return
−18.58% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION

Sui did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.

CAS history chart
Apr 26, 2026Jun 10, 2026Jul 25, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#118Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 06, 2026, 04:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#107Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 22, 2026, 04:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

Sui has logged 30 core commits over the past 7 days, a 0.6× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Jul 06, 2026, 04:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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