PRICE AT T0
Project$64,623.00
BTC$64,623.00
Quantmetric Terminal
Signal #115
● SETTLED (30d)Signal #115 — Bitcoin Core Activity Surge (CAS)
Bitcoin has a complete 30-day replay on record.
Bitcoin Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 7.2263x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 33 commits; 30D mean: 4.5667; z-score: 8.2382.
Current CAS Score
0.8×
0.8× vs 30d baseline
−19.25% vs baseline
PRICE T+7
Project$59,762.00
BTC$64,623.00
PRICE T+30
Project$66,026.00
BTC$64,623.00
7-DAY
−7.52% absolute return
0.00% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
+2.17% absolute return
0.00% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION
Bitcoin did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.
CAS history chart
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
| ID | Type | Created | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #115 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Jun 22, 2026, 16:10 UTC | ● SETTLED (30d) | Open → |
Auto narrative
Bitcoin has logged 39 core commits over the past 7 days, a 0.8× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Jun 22, 2026, 16:10 UTC, delivering 0.00% 30-day alpha vs BTC.