PRICE AT T0
Project$6.71
BTC$64,561.00
Quantmetric Terminal
Signal #124
● SETTLED (30d)Signal #124 — Avalanche Core Activity Surge (CAS)
Avalanche has a complete 30-day replay on record.
Avalanche Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.375x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 7 commits; 30D mean: 1.6; z-score: 3.2043.
Current CAS Score
1.2×
1.2× vs 30d baseline
+22.45% vs baseline
PRICE T+7
Project$6.26
BTC$64,561.00
PRICE T+30
Project$6.32
BTC$64,561.00
7-DAY
−6.71% absolute return
−7.25% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−5.81% absolute return
−3.43% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION
Avalanche did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.
CAS history chart
Recent Core Commits
d28903d4 hours ago
StephenButtolph
53fa2d14 days ago
rahulmutt-ava
22138b64 days ago
JonathanOppenheimer
2e48d274 days ago
alarso16
dca48414 days ago
StephenButtolph
f3c70f25 days ago
alarso16
b03e2765 days ago
JonathanOppenheimer
c5882eb5 days ago
alarso16
5a9dc545 days ago
JonathanOppenheimer
315590f7 days ago
JonathanOppenheimer
Signal History
| ID | Type | Created | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #124 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Jul 16, 2026, 04:10 UTC | ● SETTLED (30d) | Open → |
Auto narrative
Avalanche has logged 10 core commits over the past 7 days, a 1.2× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Jul 16, 2026, 04:10 UTC, delivering −3.43% 30-day alpha vs BTC.