PRICE AT T0
Project$6.71
BTC$64,561.00
Quantmetric Terminal
Signal #124
◐ SETTLED (7d)Signal #124 — Avalanche Core Activity Surge (CAS)
Avalanche has closed the 7-day window and remains open for the 30-day replay.
Avalanche Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.375x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 7 commits; 30D mean: 1.6; z-score: 3.2043.
Current CAS Score
0.8×
0.8× vs 30d baseline
−22.08% vs baseline
PRICE T+7
Project$6.26
BTC$64,561.00
7-DAY OUTCOME
−6.71% absolute return
−7.25% alpha vs BTC
The 7-day window is closed, so the first outcome is locked and visible.
30-DAY WINDOW — Still tracking — final outcome closes in 21 days.
CAS history chart
Recent Core Commits
4deb34623 hours ago
JonathanOppenheimer
40664772 days ago
JonathanOppenheimer
bcc85182 days ago
alarso16
a3e70012 days ago
JonathanOppenheimer
ec3b8253 days ago
alarso16
a9f00e54 days ago
StephenButtolph
2f66cfb5 days ago
alarso16
16fc9c35 days ago
StephenButtolph
5c4d3188 days ago
StephenButtolph
9038e349 days ago
StephenButtolph
Signal History
| ID | Type | Created | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #124 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Jul 16, 2026, 04:10 UTC | ◐ SETTLED (7d) | Open → |
Auto narrative
Avalanche has logged 8 core commits over the past 7 days, a 0.8× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Jul 16, 2026, 04:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.