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Signal #125
● SETTLED (30d)

Signal #125Helium (HNT) Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Helium (HNT) has a complete 30-day replay on record.

Helium (HNT) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 30x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 2 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 7.7506.

Current CAS Score
0.6×
0.6× vs 30d baseline
−40.48% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.20
BTC$65,096.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.18
BTC$65,096.00
PRICE T+30
Project$0.17
BTC$65,096.00
7-DAY
−9.63% absolute return
−7.13% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−15.11% absolute return
−21.76% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION

Helium (HNT) did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.

CAS history chart
Jul 10, 2026Aug 07, 2026Sep 03, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#144Core Activity Surge (CAS)Aug 13, 2026, 04:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#139Core Activity Surge (CAS)Aug 05, 2026, 24:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#127Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 22, 2026, 24:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#125Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 20, 2026, 20:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

Helium (HNT) has logged 5 core commits over the past 7 days, a 0.6× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Aug 13, 2026, 04:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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