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Signal #149
◐ SETTLED (7d)

Signal #149Cardano Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Cardano has closed the 7-day window and remains open for the 30-day replay.

Cardano Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 8.5714x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 2 commits; 30D mean: 0.2333; z-score: 3.5652.

Current CAS Score
1.3×
1.3× vs 30d baseline
+28.57% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.21
BTC$79,054.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.20
BTC$79,054.00
7-DAY OUTCOME
−4.81% absolute return
−2.32% alpha vs BTC

The 7-day window is closed, so the first outcome is locked and visible.

30-DAY WINDOW — Still tracking — final outcome closes in 17 days.
CAS history chart
Jun 16, 2026Aug 16, 2026Sep 03, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#153Core Activity Surge (CAS)Sep 04, 2026, 04:10 UTC● LIVEOpen →
#149Core Activity Surge (CAS)Aug 26, 2026, 04:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
Auto narrative

Cardano has logged 3 core commits over the past 7 days, a 1.3× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Sep 04, 2026, 04:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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