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Signal #94
✕ INVALIDATED

Signal #94Polygon (POL) Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Invalidation note: Pre-anchor era: T0 price was not captured at signal creation time. We do not retroactively backfill prices because that would introduce look-ahead bias into the alpha track record.

Polygon (POL) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 18x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 6 commits; 30D mean: 0.33; z-score: 6.83.

Current CAS Score
0.3×
0.3× vs 30d baseline
−73.21% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project
BTC
REASON

Pre-anchor era: T0 price was not captured at signal creation time. We do not retroactively backfill prices because that would introduce look-ahead bias into the alpha track record.

We invalidated this signal because the conditions that generated it were later compromised. We publish invalidations because cherry-picking is the cheapest way to fake a track record.

CAS history chart
May 05, 2026May 28, 2026Jul 22, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#106Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 18, 2026, 12:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#94Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 24, 2026, 12:10 UTC✕ INVALIDATEDOpen →
Auto narrative

Polygon (POL) has logged 1 core commits over the past 7 days, a 0.3× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on May 18, 2026, 12:10 UTC, delivering +2.16% 30-day alpha vs BTC.

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