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Signal #99
● SETTLED (30d)

Signal #99Dogecoin Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Dogecoin has a complete 30-day replay on record.

Dogecoin Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 3.7417.

Current CAS Score
0.0×
0.0× vs 30d baseline
−100.00% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.11
BTC$80,044.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.12
BTC$80,044.00
PRICE T+30
Project$0.08
BTC$80,044.00
7-DAY
+8.12% absolute return
+6.31% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−24.20% absolute return
−0.11% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION

Dogecoin did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.

CAS history chart
Mar 21, 2026Apr 09, 2026May 12, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#101Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 12, 2026, 08:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#99Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 08, 2026, 24:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

The last CAS surge fired on May 12, 2026, 08:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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