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Signal #103
● SETTLED (30d)

Signal #103Cosmos Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Cosmos has a complete 30-day replay on record.

Cosmos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 18x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 3 commits; 30D mean: 0.1667; z-score: 4.8671.

Current CAS Score
2.3×
2.3× vs 30d baseline
+128.57% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$2.14
BTC$81,183.00
PRICE T+7
Project$2.01
BTC$81,183.00
PRICE T+30
Project$2.00
BTC$81,183.00
7-DAY
−6.07% absolute return
−2.03% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−6.54% absolute return
+15.12% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION

Cosmos ran +15.12% ahead of BTC in the 30 days after this surge. The market eventually priced in the engineering.

CAS history chart
Apr 27, 2026Jun 08, 2026Jul 24, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#128Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 23, 2026, 20:10 UTC● LIVEOpen →
#126Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 21, 2026, 08:10 UTC● LIVEOpen →
#112Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jun 08, 2026, 20:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#103Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 13, 2026, 04:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

Cosmos has logged 8 core commits over the past 7 days, a 2.3× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Jul 23, 2026, 20:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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