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Signal #112
● SETTLED (30d)

Signal #112Cosmos Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Cosmos has a complete 30-day replay on record.

Cosmos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 5.7143x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 4 commits; 30D mean: 0.7; z-score: 3.2836.

Current CAS Score
2.3×
2.3× vs 30d baseline
+128.57% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$1.80
BTC$63,348.00
PRICE T+7
Project$1.95
BTC$63,348.00
PRICE T+30
Project$1.56
BTC$63,348.00
7-DAY
+8.33% absolute return
+3.78% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−13.33% absolute return
−11.30% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION

Cosmos did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.

CAS history chart
Apr 27, 2026Jun 08, 2026Jul 24, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#128Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 23, 2026, 20:10 UTC● LIVEOpen →
#126Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 21, 2026, 08:10 UTC● LIVEOpen →
#112Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jun 08, 2026, 20:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#103Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 13, 2026, 04:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

Cosmos has logged 8 core commits over the past 7 days, a 2.3× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Jul 23, 2026, 20:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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