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Signal #105
◐ SETTLED (7d)

Signal #105Aptos Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Aptos has closed the 7-day window and remains open for the 30-day replay.

Aptos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.7079x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 11 commits; 30D mean: 2.9667; z-score: 3.3651.

Current CAS Score
1.1×
1.1× vs 30d baseline
+5.88% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.98
BTC$79,145.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.94
BTC$79,145.00
7-DAY OUTCOME
−4.51% absolute return
+0.34% alpha vs BTC

The 7-day window is closed, so the first outcome is locked and visible.

30-DAY WINDOW — Still tracking — final outcome closes in 5 days.
CAS history chart
Mar 23, 2026Apr 29, 2026Jun 10, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#105Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 15, 2026, 16:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#95Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 28, 2026, 12:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

Aptos has logged 21 core commits over the past 7 days, a 1.1× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on May 15, 2026, 16:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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