PRICE AT T0
Project$0.98
BTC$79,145.00
Quantmetric Terminal
Signal #105
● SETTLED (30d)Signal #105 — Aptos Core Activity Surge (CAS)
Aptos has a complete 30-day replay on record.
Aptos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.7079x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 11 commits; 30D mean: 2.9667; z-score: 3.3651.
Current CAS Score
0.8×
0.8× vs 30d baseline
−23.81% vs baseline
PRICE T+7
Project$0.94
BTC$79,145.00
PRICE T+30
Project$0.68
BTC$79,145.00
7-DAY
−4.51% absolute return
+0.34% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−31.08% absolute return
−13.96% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION
Aptos did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.
CAS history chart
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
Auto narrative
Aptos has logged 8 core commits over the past 7 days, a 0.8× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on May 15, 2026, 16:10 UTC, delivering −13.96% 30-day alpha vs BTC.