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Signal #148
◐ SETTLED (7d)

Signal #148Aptos Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Aptos has closed the 7-day window and remains open for the 30-day replay.

Aptos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.5x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 6 commits; 30D mean: 1.3333; z-score: 3.7417.

Current CAS Score
1.4×
1.4× vs 30d baseline
+36.78% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.56
BTC$70,177.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.54
BTC$70,177.00
7-DAY OUTCOME
−3.25% absolute return
−14.04% alpha vs BTC

The 7-day window is closed, so the first outcome is locked and visible.

30-DAY WINDOW — Still tracking — final outcome closes in 11 days.
CAS history chart
Jun 10, 2026Jul 28, 2026Sep 07, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#148Core Activity Surge (CAS)Aug 20, 2026, 08:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#105Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 15, 2026, 16:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#95Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 28, 2026, 12:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

Aptos has logged 15 core commits over the past 7 days, a 1.4× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Aug 20, 2026, 08:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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