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Signal #121
◐ SETTLED (7d)

Signal #121Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Celestia (TIA) has closed the 7-day window and remains open for the 30-day replay.

Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 30x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0333; z-score: 5.3852.

Current CAS Score
0.0×
0.0× vs 30d baseline
−100.00% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.39
BTC$62,237.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.36
BTC$62,237.00
7-DAY OUTCOME
−9.24% absolute return
−14.51% alpha vs BTC

The 7-day window is closed, so the first outcome is locked and visible.

30-DAY WINDOW — Still tracking — final outcome closes in 19 days.
CAS history chart
Apr 28, 2026Jun 10, 2026Jul 13, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#121Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 14, 2026, 24:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#111Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jun 08, 2026, 16:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#96Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 28, 2026, 16:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#93Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 22, 2026, 16:10 UTC✕ INVALIDATEDOpen →
#91Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 21, 2026, 14:45 UTC✕ INVALIDATEDOpen →
Auto narrative

The last CAS surge fired on Jul 14, 2026, 24:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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