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Signal #150
◐ SETTLED (7d)

Signal #150Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Celestia (TIA) has closed the 7-day window and remains open for the 30-day replay.

Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 15x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0667; z-score: 3.7417.

Current CAS Score
2.9×
2.9× vs 30d baseline
+185.71% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.35
BTC$78,506.00
PRICE T+7
Project$0.35
BTC$78,506.00
7-DAY OUTCOME
+1.57% absolute return
+3.39% alpha vs BTC

The 7-day window is closed, so the first outcome is locked and visible.

30-DAY WINDOW — Still tracking — final outcome closes in 18 days.
CAS history chart
Jun 11, 2026Aug 05, 2026Sep 08, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#150Core Activity Surge (CAS)Aug 26, 2026, 20:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#141Core Activity Surge (CAS)Aug 05, 2026, 16:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#130Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 28, 2026, 16:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#121Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jul 14, 2026, 24:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#111Core Activity Surge (CAS)Jun 08, 2026, 16:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#96Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 28, 2026, 16:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
#93Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 22, 2026, 16:10 UTC✕ INVALIDATEDOpen →
#91Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 21, 2026, 14:45 UTC✕ INVALIDATEDOpen →
Auto narrative

Celestia (TIA) has logged 2 core commits over the past 7 days, a 2.9× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Aug 26, 2026, 20:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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