PRICE AT T0
Project$0.33
BTC$63,780.00
Quantmetric Terminal
Signal #130
● SETTLED (30d)Signal #130 — Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge (CAS)
Celestia (TIA) has a complete 30-day replay on record.
Celestia (TIA) Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 30x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 1 commits; 30D mean: 0.0333; z-score: 5.3852.
Current CAS Score
2.9×
2.9× vs 30d baseline
+185.71% vs baseline
PRICE T+7
Project$0.33
BTC$63,780.00
PRICE T+30
Project$0.36
BTC$63,780.00
7-DAY
+1.00% absolute return
+0.71% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
+8.87% absolute return
−17.56% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION
Celestia (TIA) did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.
CAS history chart
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
| ID | Type | Created | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #150 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Aug 26, 2026, 20:10 UTC | ◐ SETTLED (7d) | Open → |
| #141 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Aug 05, 2026, 16:10 UTC | ● SETTLED (30d) | Open → |
| #130 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Jul 28, 2026, 16:10 UTC | ● SETTLED (30d) | Open → |
| #121 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Jul 14, 2026, 24:10 UTC | ● SETTLED (30d) | Open → |
| #111 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Jun 08, 2026, 16:10 UTC | ● SETTLED (30d) | Open → |
| #96 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Apr 28, 2026, 16:10 UTC | ● SETTLED (30d) | Open → |
| #93 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Apr 22, 2026, 16:10 UTC | ✕ INVALIDATED | Open → |
| #91 | Core Activity Surge (CAS) | Apr 21, 2026, 14:45 UTC | ✕ INVALIDATED | Open → |
Auto narrative
Celestia (TIA) has logged 2 core commits over the past 7 days, a 2.9× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Aug 26, 2026, 20:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.